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Red75
558427.4
99945.4
699621.2
Blue40
99915.9
453715.7
643414.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions593402040801001207540

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.40.1
26.526.5
Auto11.6
Teleop13.7
End2.1
red by 11.7
15.70.1
15.015.2
Auto5.1
Teleop9.9
End0.7
Second
21.20.1
20.220.3
Auto10.3
Teleop8.9
End2.0
red by 6.8
14.40.1
13.713.9
Auto6.0
Teleop6.3
End2.2
Third
9994
#16
5.40.1
5.05.1
Auto1.7
Teleop2.5
End1.1
blue by 0.5
9991
#14
5.90.1
5.25.4
Auto3.0
Teleop2.2
End0.6