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Red129
504518.2
3419.2
402064.6
Blue37
297315.7
610713.1
941027.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7478406010012012937

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+80Teleop
+92Endgame
+92Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
3Leave3
5Coral scored#0
24Coral points0
27Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +56
19Coral scored#7
70Coral points24
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
6Processor points0
12Net points8
18Algae points8
88Total teleop32
Reef
7L4#2
8L3#3
4L2#1
5L1 · trough#1
28Game pieces#9
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +92
0Foul points0
129Total score37

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.65.3
33.538.8
Auto18.3
Teleop38.4
End7.9
red by 37.2
9410
#14
27.45.4
29.524.1
Auto7.4
Teleop14.4
End5.7
Second
34
#13
19.25.3
16.221.5
Auto2.5
Teleop12.6
End4.1
red by 3.5
2973
#35
15.75.4
20.515.2
Auto2.5
Teleop11.5
End1.7
Third
5045
#12
18.25.3
15.420.7
Auto5.3
Teleop10.2
End2.7
red by 5.1
6107
#29
13.15.4
18.112.7
Auto5.9
Teleop4.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed46%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsMissed