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Red63
313811.7
14432.5
219017.7
Blue97
305831.8
103825.2
278347.0
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7189204060801001201406397

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+34
Endgame+34
Fouls+34
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave9
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points14
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +20
9Coral scored#11
32Coral points38
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
0Processor points6
4Net points12
4Algae points18
36Total teleop56
Reef
3L4#4
4L3#4
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
12Foul points12
63Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144
#20
32.52.1
29.427.3
Auto4.4
Teleop20.6
End7.5
blue by 14.5
47.00.3
26.026.3
Auto11.7
Teleop26.3
End9.0
Second
2190
#33
17.72.1
16.414.3
Auto2.5
Teleop10.8
End4.4
blue by 14.1
31.80.3
23.523.9
Auto5.7
Teleop22.0
End4.0
Third
3138
#23
11.72.1
18.216.1
Auto3.1
Teleop7.3
End1.2
blue by 13.6
25.20.3
27.227.5
Auto6.2
Teleop16.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsMissed