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Red118
53818.0
233861.9
297315.7
Blue97
313811.7
384312.3
402064.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7887406010012014011897

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+5Teleop
+15Endgame
+21Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
5Coral scored#5
24Coral points24
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +5
12Coral scored#11
42Coral points39
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
12Processor points6
12Net points16
24Algae points22
66Total teleop61
Reef
5L4#6
7L3#5
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#21
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
6Foul points0
118Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.94.3
35.840.1
Auto21.3
Teleop31.1
End9.5
blue by 2.7
64.61.9
38.840.7
Auto18.3
Teleop38.4
End7.9
Second
538
#31
18.04.3
16.721.1
Auto4.7
Teleop10.7
End2.6
red by 5.7
3843
#30
12.31.9
19.120.9
Auto1.6
Teleop7.2
End3.5
Third
2973
#35
15.74.3
15.219.5
Auto2.5
Teleop11.5
End1.7
red by 4.1
3138
#23
11.71.9
16.118.0
Auto3.1
Teleop7.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsEarned50%Barge oddsMissed