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Red96
941027.4
314025.7
222037.8
Blue59
305831.8
219017.7
1001120.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8360020401001201401609659

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+39Teleop
+37Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave3
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points9
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +35
16Coral scored#8
58Coral points27
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
76Total teleop41
Reef
5L4#4
5L3#4
5L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
0Foul points0
96Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2220
#11
37.82.3
23.025.4
Auto6.6
Teleop30.2
End1.0
red by 6.0
31.80.0
23.923.9
Auto5.7
Teleop22.0
End4.0
Second
9410
#14
27.42.3
24.126.4
Auto7.4
Teleop14.4
End5.7
red by 7.0
20.40.0
14.714.7
Auto5.4
Teleop13.3
End1.7
Third
3140
#22
25.72.3
22.624.9
Auto2.1
Teleop22.3
End1.3
red by 8.0
2190
#33
17.70.0
14.314.3
Auto2.5
Teleop10.8
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed