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Red72
86246.7
630218.5
32542.4
Blue50
426527.5
43214.4
14432.5
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions738340601001207250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+12Teleop
+10Endgame
+22Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +12
9Coral scored#8
33Coral points27
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
47Total teleop35
Reef
4L4#4
2L3#1
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
12Foul points0
72Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
325
#9
42.40.5
33.633.0
Auto7.2
Teleop30.5
End4.7
red by 9.9
144
#20
32.52.5
27.324.8
Auto4.4
Teleop20.6
End7.5
Second
6302
#25
18.50.5
16.015.4
Auto4.6
Teleop12.1
End1.7
blue by 9.0
4265
#37
27.52.5
27.525.0
Auto6.5
Teleop19.3
End1.7
Third
8624
#43
6.70.5
15.314.7
Auto1.4
Teleop2.1
End3.2
blue by 7.7
432
#32
14.42.5
17.715.2
Auto1.9
Teleop8.8
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsMissed