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Red38
711114.1
250226.1
38148.8
Blue61
512516.9
396630.6
395921.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8461020401001201401603861

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+21
Endgame+23
Fouls+23
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave9
3Coral scored#0
16Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +28
4Coral scored#9
14Coral points32
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
18Total teleop46
Reef
3L4#3
1L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points0
38Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2502
#17
26.13.8
27.423.6
Auto7.0
Teleop14.6
End4.5
blue by 4.5
3966
#10
30.60.4
16.617.0
Auto9.2
Teleop19.2
End2.2
Second
7111
#36
14.13.8
21.417.6
Auto3.4
Teleop9.9
End0.7
blue by 7.9
3959
#41
21.90.4
21.521.9
Auto3.1
Teleop16.4
End2.5
Third
3814
#44
8.83.8
23.619.8
Auto3.0
Teleop4.4
End1.4
blue by 8.1
5125
#27
16.90.4
19.419.8
Auto4.1
Teleop11.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsEarned27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed