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Red76
363035.0
77257.8
707225.3
Blue34
74413.5
460113.6
500515.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions735602040801001207634

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+46Teleop
+44Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
0Leave3
3Coral scored#0
16Coral points0
16Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +33
12Coral scored#5
44Coral points17
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
54Total teleop21
Reef
4L4#1
5L3#2
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
2Foul points4
76Total score34

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.00.5
31.632.1
Auto8.4
Teleop21.8
End4.8
red by 19.9
5005
#34
15.13.4
18.314.9
Auto3.7
Teleop7.2
End4.1
Second
7072
#16
25.30.5
20.120.6
Auto4.3
Teleop13.9
End7.1
red by 11.7
4601
#40
13.63.4
16.913.5
Auto2.5
Teleop8.8
End2.4
Third
7725
#39
7.80.3
9.910.2
Auto5.1
Teleop3.8
End-1.1
blue by 5.7
744
#28
13.53.4
16.513.1
Auto4.2
Teleop6.0
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsEarned25%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed