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Red81
382429.3
742837.5
219017.7
Blue83
630218.5
396630.6
250226.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6767204060801001208183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+20
Endgame+2
Fouls+2
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave0
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +27
9Coral scored#16
31Coral points58
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
41Total teleop68
Reef
3L4#6
5L3#6
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#20
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points0
81Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.52.1
24.326.4
Auto8.0
Teleop23.6
End5.8
red by 6.9
3966
#10
30.62.2
20.823.0
Auto9.2
Teleop19.2
End2.2
Second
3824
#15
29.32.1
18.921.0
Auto5.5
Teleop18.3
End5.5
red by 3.3
2502
#17
26.12.2
21.323.5
Auto7.0
Teleop14.6
End4.5
Third
2190
#33
17.72.1
15.617.8
Auto2.5
Teleop10.8
End4.4
blue by 0.8
6302
#25
18.52.2
18.620.8
Auto4.6
Teleop12.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsMissed