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Red38
346825.9
313811.7
460113.6
Blue30
426527.5
384312.3
707225.3
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5881020401001201403830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+10Teleop
+6Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave3
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
6Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +7
6Coral scored#4
22Coral points13
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#2
6Processor points0
0Net points8
6Algae points8
28Total teleop21
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
8Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
2Foul points0
38Total score30

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3468
#21
25.91.7
18.817.1
Auto3.5
Teleop19.9
End2.6
blue by 1.6
4265
#37
27.54.3
26.322.0
Auto6.5
Teleop19.3
End1.7
Second
4601
#40
13.61.7
17.315.5
Auto2.5
Teleop8.8
End2.4
blue by 11.7
7072
#16
25.34.3
24.420.0
Auto4.3
Teleop13.9
End7.1
Third
3138
#23
11.71.7
15.613.9
Auto3.1
Teleop7.3
End1.2
blue by 0.7
3843
#30
12.34.3
18.414.1
Auto1.6
Teleop7.2
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed46%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed