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Red43
1001120.4
512516.9
877219.1
Blue47
3419.2
305831.8
711114.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67760501001504347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+4Teleop
+2Endgame
Fouls+4
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +7
6Coral scored#4
22Coral points15
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
32Total teleop25
Reef
2L4#2
1L3#1
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points6
43Total score47

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.41.7
12.410.7
Auto5.4
Teleop13.3
End1.7
blue by 11.4
31.82.7
28.125.5
Auto5.7
Teleop22.0
End4.0
Second
8772
#18
19.11.7
24.823.1
Auto4.4
Teleop11.7
End3.0
blue by 0.1
34
#13
19.22.7
17.915.2
Auto2.5
Teleop12.6
End4.1
Third
5125
#27
16.91.7
21.019.3
Auto4.1
Teleop11.5
End1.3
red by 2.8
7111
#36
14.12.7
18.816.2
Auto3.4
Teleop9.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsMissed51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsEarned