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Red126
402860.6
74413.5
909710.9
Blue76
14432.5
500515.1
297315.7
71%Model gave it29%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8568020406010012014012676

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+70Teleop
+64Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
6Leave6
4Coral scored#1
21Coral points3
27Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +52
19Coral scored#6
67Coral points23
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
85Total teleop33
Reef
11L4#3
4L3#2
3L2#1
5L1 · trough#1
27Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +6
14Cage & park20
14Total endgame20
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +50
0Foul points14
126Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.65.1
44.349.4
Auto16.8
Teleop37.3
End6.4
red by 28.1
144
#20
32.50.4
24.824.4
Auto4.4
Teleop20.6
End7.5
Second
744
#28
13.55.1
13.118.2
Auto4.2
Teleop6.0
End3.3
blue by 2.2
2973
#35
15.70.4
19.519.2
Auto2.5
Teleop11.5
End1.7
Third
9097
#38
10.95.1
14.419.4
Auto2.9
Teleop6.1
End1.8
blue by 4.3
5005
#34
15.10.4
14.914.6
Auto3.7
Teleop7.2
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsEarned