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Red137
402860.6
14432.5
222037.8
Blue119
959013.4
402064.6
74413.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1188550100150137119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+36Teleop
+30Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave0
3Coral scored#5
14Coral points27
23Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +40
22Coral scored#11
80Coral points40
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
12Processor points12
16Net points16
28Algae points28
108Total teleop68
Reef
10L4#9
7L3#3
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +6
6Cage & park12
6Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points12
137Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.62.6
49.452.0
Auto16.8
Teleop37.3
End6.4
blue by 4.1
64.62.1
44.146.3
Auto18.3
Teleop38.4
End7.9
Second
2220
#11
37.82.6
28.531.1
Auto6.6
Teleop30.2
End1.0
red by 24.3
744
#28
13.52.1
18.220.3
Auto4.2
Teleop6.0
End3.3
Third
144
#20
32.52.6
24.427.0
Auto4.4
Teleop20.6
End7.5
red by 19.1
9590
#42
13.42.1
14.116.3
Auto0.6
Teleop10.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned34%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsMissed