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Red66
909710.9
395921.9
77257.8
Blue113
504518.2
941027.4
32542.4
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6010320408012014016066113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+16
Teleop+39
Endgame+53
Fouls+47
AutonomousBlue +16
0Leave3
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points22
9Total auto25
TeleoperatedBlue +23
10Coral scored#15
35Coral points54
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
49Total teleop72
Reef
5L4#6
3L3#6
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +47
6Foul points0
66Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3959
#41
21.90.7
23.122.4
Auto3.1
Teleop16.4
End2.5
blue by 20.4
325
#9
42.42.2
34.336.5
Auto7.2
Teleop30.5
End4.7
Second
9097
#38
10.90.7
19.418.8
Auto2.9
Teleop6.1
End1.8
blue by 16.6
9410
#14
27.42.2
27.629.9
Auto7.4
Teleop14.4
End5.7
Third
7725
#39
7.80.4
12.311.9
Auto5.1
Teleop3.8
End-1.1
blue by 10.3
5045
#12
18.22.2
22.024.3
Auto5.3
Teleop10.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsMissed47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsEarned