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Red61
363035.0
426527.5
3419.2
Blue22
314025.7
711114.1
384312.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8357020401001201406122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+29Teleop
+41Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave3
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +23
5Coral scored#2
18Coral points7
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
0Processor points0
12Net points0
12Algae points0
30Total teleop7
Reef
3L4#1
2L3#1
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
10Game pieces#2
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
6Foul points8
61Total score22

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.01.7
33.331.6
Auto8.4
Teleop21.8
End4.8
red by 9.3
3140
#22
25.74.4
22.918.6
Auto2.1
Teleop22.3
End1.3
Second
4265
#37
27.51.7
22.020.2
Auto6.5
Teleop19.3
End1.7
red by 13.4
7111
#36
14.14.4
16.211.8
Auto3.4
Teleop9.9
End0.7
Third
34
#13
19.21.7
15.213.5
Auto2.5
Teleop12.6
End4.1
red by 6.9
3843
#30
12.34.4
14.19.7
Auto1.6
Teleop7.2
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsMissed42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned21%Barge oddsMissed