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Red159
941027.4
402064.6
512516.9
Blue77
651731.1
32542.4
959013.4
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11485406010014016015977

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+48Teleop
+70Endgame
+82Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave3
6Coral scored#3
28Coral points13
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +27
14Coral scored#13
52Coral points47
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
12Processor points6
20Net points4
32Algae points10
84Total teleop57
Reef
8L4#6
5L3#4
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#18
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +82
12Foul points0
159Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.65.1
46.351.4
Auto18.3
Teleop38.4
End7.9
red by 22.3
325
#9
42.40.2
36.536.8
Auto7.2
Teleop30.5
End4.7
Second
9410
#14
27.45.1
29.934.9
Auto7.4
Teleop14.4
End5.7
blue by 3.6
6517
#26
31.10.2
22.022.2
Auto6.2
Teleop20.2
End4.7
Third
5125
#27
16.95.1
19.324.4
Auto4.1
Teleop11.5
End1.3
red by 3.5
9590
#42
13.40.2
16.316.5
Auto0.6
Teleop10.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsMissed