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Red56
610713.1
77257.8
305831.8
Blue60
742837.5
53818.0
43214.4
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54772040601001205660

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+2Teleop
Endgame+10
Fouls+4
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave3
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points13
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +6
6Coral scored#5
20Coral points18
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
34Total teleop28
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#3
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
6Foul points0
56Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.80.2
25.525.6
Auto5.7
Teleop22.0
End4.0
blue by 5.7
37.50.7
26.425.7
Auto8.0
Teleop23.6
End5.8
Second
6107
#29
13.10.2
8.68.8
Auto5.9
Teleop4.7
End2.5
blue by 4.9
538
#31
18.00.7
25.224.6
Auto4.7
Teleop10.7
End2.6
Third
7725
#39
7.80.1
11.912.0
Auto5.1
Teleop3.8
End-1.1
blue by 6.5
432
#32
14.40.7
11.310.6
Auto1.9
Teleop8.8
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed71%Barge oddsEarned