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Red89
278347.0
314025.7
297315.7
Blue70
250226.1
707225.3
395921.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7473204060801001208970

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+31Teleop
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave6
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points3
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +17
11Coral scored#9
38Coral points31
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
52Total teleop35
Reef
6L4#5
3L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points0
89Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.02.5
32.234.7
Auto11.7
Teleop26.3
End9.0
red by 20.9
2502
#17
26.10.5
23.523.9
Auto7.0
Teleop14.6
End4.5
Second
3140
#22
25.72.5
18.621.1
Auto2.1
Teleop22.3
End1.3
red by 0.4
7072
#16
25.30.5
20.020.5
Auto4.3
Teleop13.9
End7.1
Third
2973
#35
15.72.5
15.818.3
Auto2.5
Teleop11.5
End1.7
blue by 6.2
3959
#41
21.90.5
22.422.9
Auto3.1
Teleop16.4
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsEarned