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Red107
402860.6
504518.2
219017.7
Blue63
909710.9
363035.0
86246.7
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113702040608010014016018010763

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+62Teleop
+52Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave0
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points9
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +48
17Coral scored#7
60Coral points26
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
12Processor points6
8Net points0
20Algae points6
80Total teleop32
Reef
7L4#3
6L3#3
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +44
0Foul points8
107Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.60.8
52.052.8
Auto16.8
Teleop37.3
End6.4
red by 25.6
35.01.5
31.630.1
Auto8.4
Teleop21.8
End4.8
Second
5045
#12
18.20.8
24.325.0
Auto5.3
Teleop10.2
End2.7
red by 7.3
9097
#38
10.91.5
18.817.3
Auto2.9
Teleop6.1
End1.8
Third
2190
#33
17.70.8
17.818.5
Auto2.5
Teleop10.8
End4.4
red by 11.0
8624
#43
6.71.5
12.911.4
Auto1.4
Teleop2.1
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
14%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsMissed57%Barge oddsEarned