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Red89
38148.8
382429.3
14432.5
Blue56
4827.4
500515.1
384312.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions715902040801001208956

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+15Teleop
+35Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave9
2Coral scored#0
12Coral points0
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +12
11Coral scored#7
41Coral points25
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
51Total teleop39
Reef
6L4#3
4L3#2
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#10
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
0Foul points2
89Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144
#20
32.53.1
27.230.4
Auto4.4
Teleop20.6
End7.5
red by 5.1
48
#24
27.40.0
28.628.6
Auto5.7
Teleop19.0
End2.6
Second
3824
#15
29.33.1
21.024.2
Auto5.5
Teleop18.3
End5.5
red by 14.2
5005
#34
15.10.0
15.315.3
Auto3.7
Teleop7.2
End4.1
Third
3814
#44
8.83.1
12.415.6
Auto3.0
Teleop4.4
End1.4
blue by 3.6
3843
#30
12.30.0
9.79.8
Auto1.6
Teleop7.2
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsMissed