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Red71
651731.1
426527.5
313811.7
Blue72
222037.8
3419.2
959013.4
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions587102040801001207172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+27
Endgame+25
Fouls+1
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave3
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points17
16Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +23
5Coral scored#9
19Coral points32
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
0Processor points6
8Net points12
8Algae points18
27Total teleop50
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#16
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
24Foul points0
71Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6517
#26
31.10.6
22.221.6
Auto6.2
Teleop20.2
End4.7
blue by 6.7
2220
#11
37.81.2
30.932.1
Auto6.6
Teleop30.2
End1.0
Second
4265
#37
27.50.6
20.219.6
Auto6.5
Teleop19.3
End1.7
red by 8.3
34
#13
19.21.2
13.514.8
Auto2.5
Teleop12.6
End4.1
Third
3138
#23
11.70.6
10.49.7
Auto3.1
Teleop7.3
End1.2
blue by 1.7
9590
#42
13.41.2
16.517.7
Auto0.6
Teleop10.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed