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Red117
402860.6
86246.7
1001120.4
Blue72
38148.8
77257.8
396630.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8553020406010012014011772

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+45Teleop
+57Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave0
4Coral scored#3
21Coral points13
30Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +28
13Coral scored#10
47Coral points35
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
12Processor points0
12Net points8
24Algae points8
71Total teleop43
Reef
7L4#6
3L3#3
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#15
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
0Foul points12
117Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.63.6
52.856.4
Auto16.8
Teleop37.3
End6.4
red by 30.0
3966
#10
30.60.2
22.722.5
Auto9.2
Teleop19.2
End2.2
Second
20.43.6
8.812.4
Auto5.4
Teleop13.3
End1.7
red by 11.6
3814
#44
8.80.2
15.615.4
Auto3.0
Teleop4.4
End1.4
Third
8624
#43
6.73.6
11.415.1
Auto1.4
Teleop2.1
End3.2
blue by 1.1
7725
#39
7.80.1
12.011.9
Auto5.1
Teleop3.8
End-1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned23%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsMissed