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Red52
219017.7
500515.1
877219.1
Blue58
707225.3
512516.9
314025.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions537402040601001201405258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
Teleop+2
Endgame+6
Fouls+6
AutonomousRed +9
6Leave6
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
15Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +11
5Coral scored#8
17Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
27Total teleop38
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +4
10Cage & park14
10Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points0
52Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8772
#18
19.10.8
19.618.8
Auto4.4
Teleop11.7
End3.0
blue by 6.6
3140
#22
25.71.5
21.119.6
Auto2.1
Teleop22.3
End1.3
Second
2190
#33
17.70.8
18.517.7
Auto2.5
Teleop10.8
End4.4
blue by 7.6
7072
#16
25.31.5
20.519.0
Auto4.3
Teleop13.9
End7.1
Third
5005
#34
15.10.8
15.314.5
Auto3.7
Teleop7.2
End4.1
blue by 1.7
5125
#27
16.91.5
24.422.9
Auto4.1
Teleop11.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsEarned22%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsEarned