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Red71
3419.2
651731.1
14432.5
Blue93
313811.7
250226.1
363035.0
60%Model gave it40%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76702040601001207193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+20
Endgame+18
Fouls+22
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points12
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +17
9Coral scored#11
34Coral points41
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
6Processor points12
4Net points8
10Algae points20
44Total teleop61
Reef
2L4#4
4L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#17
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
2Foul points6
71Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144
#20
32.50.3
30.430.6
Auto4.4
Teleop20.6
End7.5
blue by 2.5
35.02.8
27.129.9
Auto8.4
Teleop21.8
End4.8
Second
6517
#26
31.10.3
21.621.8
Auto6.2
Teleop20.2
End4.7
red by 5.0
2502
#17
26.12.8
24.927.7
Auto7.0
Teleop14.6
End4.5
Third
34
#13
19.20.3
14.815.0
Auto2.5
Teleop12.6
End4.1
red by 7.6
3138
#23
11.72.8
9.712.5
Auto3.1
Teleop7.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned57%Barge oddsEarned