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Red39
77257.8
941027.4
402860.6
Blue129
233861.9
630218.5
742837.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11910640608010014016039129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+74
Endgame+88
Fouls+90
AutonomousBlue +8
9Leave3
4Coral scored#7
20Coral points34
29Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +66
3Coral scored#17
10Coral points62
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
0Processor points6
0Net points8
0Algae points14
10Total teleop76
Reef
3L4#9
2L3#7
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#4
7Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +14
0Cage & park14
0Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +90
0Foul points2
39Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.67.0
56.449.4
Auto16.8
Teleop37.3
End6.4
blue by 1.3
61.93.6
51.555.1
Auto21.3
Teleop31.1
End9.5
Second
9410
#14
27.47.0
34.027.0
Auto7.4
Teleop14.4
End5.7
blue by 10.0
37.53.6
27.030.6
Auto8.0
Teleop23.6
End5.8
Third
7725
#39
7.84.2
11.97.6
Auto5.1
Teleop3.8
End-1.1
blue by 10.7
6302
#25
18.53.6
15.919.5
Auto4.6
Teleop12.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed66%Barge oddsEarned