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Red63
460113.6
384312.3
278347.0
Blue21
53818.0
86246.7
512516.9
47%Model gave it53%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60670501001502006321

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+40Teleop
+48Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
4Coral points3
10Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +39
8Coral scored#0
29Coral points0
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
6Processor points0
4Net points0
10Algae points0
39Total teleop0
Reef
4L4#1
2L3#0
2L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
11Game pieces#1
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
0Foul points6
63Total score21

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.00.5
35.636.2
Auto11.7
Teleop26.3
End9.0
red by 29.0
538
#31
18.05.2
23.718.5
Auto4.7
Teleop10.7
End2.6
Second
4601
#40
13.60.5
12.713.3
Auto2.5
Teleop8.8
End2.4
blue by 3.2
5125
#27
16.95.2
22.917.8
Auto4.1
Teleop11.5
End1.3
Third
3843
#30
12.30.5
9.810.3
Auto1.6
Teleop7.2
End3.5
red by 5.6
8624
#43
6.75.2
15.19.9
Auto1.4
Teleop2.1
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned62%Barge oddsMissed