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Red54
707225.3
1001120.4
500515.1
Blue26
610713.1
909710.9
959013.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56533040506070805426

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+24Teleop
+28Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
9Leave0
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
16Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +11
5Coral scored#4
18Coral points15
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
6Processor points6
8Net points0
14Algae points6
32Total teleop21
Reef
3L4#2
1L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#6
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points0
54Total score26

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7072
#16
25.30.9
19.019.9
Auto4.3
Teleop13.9
End7.1
red by 11.9
9590
#42
13.42.1
17.715.7
Auto0.6
Teleop10.8
End2.1
Second
20.40.9
12.413.3
Auto5.4
Teleop13.3
End1.7
red by 7.3
6107
#29
13.12.1
9.77.6
Auto5.9
Teleop4.7
End2.5
Third
5005
#34
15.10.9
14.515.4
Auto3.7
Teleop7.2
End4.1
red by 4.3
9097
#38
10.92.1
17.315.2
Auto2.9
Teleop6.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsEarned17%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed