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Red125
382429.3
711114.1
363035.0
Blue26
219017.7
297315.7
77257.8
90%Model gave it10%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78450206010012012526

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+41Teleop
+45Endgame
+99Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
15Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +35
8Coral scored#3
30Coral points9
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
44Total teleop9
Reef
5L4#2
2L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#5
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +99
60Foul points6
125Total score26

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.00.3
29.929.6
Auto8.4
Teleop21.8
End4.8
red by 17.3
2190
#33
17.72.9
17.714.8
Auto2.5
Teleop10.8
End4.4
Second
3824
#15
29.30.3
24.223.9
Auto5.5
Teleop18.3
End5.5
red by 13.6
2973
#35
15.72.7
17.915.2
Auto2.5
Teleop11.5
End1.7
Third
7111
#36
14.10.3
11.010.7
Auto3.4
Teleop9.9
End0.7
red by 6.3
7725
#39
7.81.7
7.65.9
Auto5.1
Teleop3.8
End-1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed