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Red73
14432.5
103825.2
512516.9
Blue70
4827.4
877219.1
941027.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87910501001507370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+15Teleop
+7Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave3
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +18
11Coral scored#8
40Coral points28
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
6Processor points0
12Net points12
18Algae points12
58Total teleop40
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#3
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points4
73Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144
#20
32.51.4
30.629.2
Auto4.4
Teleop20.6
End7.5
red by 5.1
9410
#14
27.41.7
27.025.2
Auto7.4
Teleop14.4
End5.7
Second
25.21.4
26.124.7
Auto6.2
Teleop16.6
End2.4
blue by 2.1
48
#24
27.41.9
29.427.6
Auto5.7
Teleop19.0
End2.6
Third
5125
#27
16.91.4
17.816.3
Auto4.1
Teleop11.5
End1.3
blue by 2.2
8772
#18
19.11.7
20.318.6
Auto4.4
Teleop11.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsEarned