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Red55
742837.5
460113.6
86246.7
Blue123
346825.9
314025.7
43214.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions616120408010012055123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+22
Endgame+32
Fouls+68
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +22
8Coral scored#10
27Coral points37
0Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
0Processor points12
16Net points16
16Algae points28
43Total teleop65
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +68
0Foul points36
55Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.50.5
30.630.1
Auto8.0
Teleop23.6
End5.8
red by 11.5
3468
#21
25.92.5
22.024.4
Auto3.5
Teleop19.9
End2.6
Second
4601
#40
13.60.5
13.312.8
Auto2.5
Teleop8.8
End2.4
blue by 12.1
3140
#22
25.72.5
20.222.6
Auto2.1
Teleop22.3
End1.3
Third
8624
#43
6.70.5
9.99.4
Auto1.4
Teleop2.1
End3.2
blue by 7.7
432
#32
14.42.6
12.114.8
Auto1.9
Teleop8.8
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsMissed26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsEarned