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Red107
402064.6
909710.9
250226.1
Blue78
1001120.4
426527.5
53818.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11950010015010778

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+21Teleop
+29Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
3Leave0
5Coral scored#2
24Coral points12
27Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +6
13Coral scored#11
46Coral points40
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
12Processor points12
8Net points8
20Algae points20
66Total teleop60
Reef
5L4#4
5L3#4
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#17
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
0Foul points0
107Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.60.2
56.556.7
Auto18.3
Teleop38.4
End7.9
red by 37.1
4265
#37
27.52.2
20.222.3
Auto6.5
Teleop19.3
End1.7
Second
2502
#17
26.10.2
27.727.9
Auto7.0
Teleop14.6
End4.5
red by 5.7
20.42.2
13.315.5
Auto5.4
Teleop13.3
End1.7
Third
9097
#38
10.90.2
15.215.4
Auto2.9
Teleop6.1
End1.8
blue by 7.2
538
#31
18.02.2
18.520.6
Auto4.7
Teleop10.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsMissed64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed