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Red63
384312.3
74413.5
651731.1
Blue26
395921.9
219017.7
38148.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions526302040801006326

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+13Teleop
+27Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +6
3Coral scored#3
11Coral points9
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
0Processor points0
4Net points0
4Algae points0
15Total teleop9
Reef
1L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#4
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
16Foul points6
63Total score26

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6517
#26
31.10.3
21.821.5
Auto6.2
Teleop20.2
End4.7
red by 9.1
3959
#41
21.93.8
26.122.3
Auto3.1
Teleop16.4
End2.5
Second
744
#28
13.50.3
15.014.7
Auto4.2
Teleop6.0
End3.3
blue by 4.2
2190
#33
17.73.8
14.811.0
Auto2.5
Teleop10.8
End4.4
Third
3843
#30
12.30.3
10.310.0
Auto1.6
Teleop7.2
End3.5
red by 3.6
3814
#44
8.83.8
13.49.5
Auto3.0
Teleop4.4
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsMissed