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Red98
233861.9
959013.4
504518.2
Blue84
707225.3
630218.5
382429.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107612040801201401609884

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+10Teleop
+12Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave6
1Coral scored#2
4Coral points10
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +13
13Coral scored#7
47Coral points26
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
6Processor points6
8Net points16
14Algae points22
61Total teleop48
Reef
6L4#4
4L3#3
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#14
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
8Foul points6
98Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.90.4
55.154.7
Auto21.3
Teleop31.1
End9.5
red by 32.6
3824
#15
29.31.6
23.925.5
Auto5.5
Teleop18.3
End5.5
Second
5045
#12
18.20.4
23.022.6
Auto5.3
Teleop10.2
End2.7
blue by 7.2
7072
#16
25.31.5
19.921.4
Auto4.3
Teleop13.9
End7.1
Third
9590
#42
13.40.4
15.715.3
Auto0.6
Teleop10.8
End2.1
blue by 5.1
6302
#25
18.51.5
19.521.0
Auto4.6
Teleop12.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsMissed44%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
28%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsEarned