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Red65
77257.8
250226.1
426527.5
Blue126
278347.0
14432.5
4827.4
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53110020408010012014016065126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+37
Endgame+61
Fouls+61
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave0
3Coral scored#5
17Coral points23
26Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +40
5Coral scored#16
19Coral points59
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
37Total teleop77
Reef
2L4#8
2L3#6
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +24
2Cage & park26
2Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +61
0Foul points0
65Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4265
#37
27.50.9
22.323.2
Auto6.5
Teleop19.3
End1.7
blue by 19.5
47.02.9
39.041.9
Auto11.7
Teleop26.3
End9.0
Second
2502
#17
26.10.9
27.928.7
Auto7.0
Teleop14.6
End4.5
blue by 6.4
144
#20
32.52.9
29.232.1
Auto4.4
Teleop20.6
End7.5
Third
7725
#39
7.80.6
5.96.5
Auto5.1
Teleop3.8
End-1.1
blue by 19.5
48
#24
27.43.1
27.630.7
Auto5.7
Teleop19.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed65%Barge oddsEarned