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Red108
3419.2
32542.4
1001120.4
Blue19
297315.7
86246.7
74413.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8941020608010012014010819

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+59Teleop
+71Endgame
+89Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave3
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points3
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +49
13Coral scored#3
48Coral points9
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
6Processor points0
4Net points0
10Algae points0
58Total teleop9
Reef
6L4#1
4L3#1
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#4
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +89
18Foul points0
108Total score19

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
325
#9
42.41.6
39.541.2
Auto7.2
Teleop30.5
End4.7
red by 26.7
2973
#35
15.71.9
15.213.2
Auto2.5
Teleop11.5
End1.7
Second
20.41.6
15.517.1
Auto5.4
Teleop13.3
End1.7
red by 6.9
744
#28
13.51.9
14.712.7
Auto4.2
Teleop6.0
End3.3
Third
34
#13
19.21.6
17.919.5
Auto2.5
Teleop12.6
End4.1
red by 12.5
8624
#43
6.71.9
9.47.4
Auto1.4
Teleop2.1
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsMissed