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Red45
959013.4
395921.9
313811.7
Blue95
314025.7
382429.3
877219.1
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5576020401001204595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+40
Endgame+44
Fouls+50
AutonomousBlue +13
3Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points7
3Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +27
9Coral scored#9
32Coral points33
0Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
0Processor points18
8Net points16
8Algae points34
40Total teleop67
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#4
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
0Foul points6
45Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3959
#41
21.90.5
22.321.8
Auto3.1
Teleop16.4
End2.5
blue by 7.4
3824
#15
29.32.3
25.527.8
Auto5.5
Teleop18.3
End5.5
Second
9590
#42
13.40.5
15.314.7
Auto0.6
Teleop10.8
End2.1
blue by 12.3
3140
#22
25.72.1
22.624.8
Auto2.1
Teleop22.3
End1.3
Third
3138
#23
11.70.5
13.112.6
Auto3.1
Teleop7.3
End1.2
blue by 7.4
8772
#18
19.12.1
18.620.7
Auto4.4
Teleop11.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsMissed61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed74%Barge oddsMissed