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Red56
384312.3
305831.8
53818.0
Blue124
103825.2
402860.6
707225.3
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6112005010015056124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+40
Endgame+50
Fouls+68
AutonomousBlue +28
3Leave3
1Coral scored#7
6Coral points34
9Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +12
8Coral scored#8
27Coral points29
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
41Total teleop53
Reef
4L4#4
2L3#4
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
12Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +68
0Foul points18
56Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.81.4
28.426.9
Auto5.7
Teleop22.0
End4.0
blue by 28.8
60.60.4
52.251.8
Auto16.8
Teleop37.3
End6.4
Second
538
#31
18.01.3
20.619.3
Auto4.7
Teleop10.7
End2.6
blue by 7.3
7072
#16
25.30.4
21.421.0
Auto4.3
Teleop13.9
End7.1
Third
3843
#30
12.31.3
10.08.7
Auto1.6
Teleop7.2
End3.5
blue by 12.9
25.20.4
24.724.4
Auto6.2
Teleop16.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsMissed70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsMissed51%Barge oddsEarned