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Red114
233861.9
610713.1
396630.6
Blue24
460113.6
909710.9
38148.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1093505010015011424

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+68Auto
+78Teleop
+90Endgame
+90Fouls
AutonomousRed +68
3Leave0
14Coral scored#1
71Coral points6
74Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +10
6Coral scored#3
20Coral points10
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
0Processor points0
4Net points4
4Algae points4
24Total teleop14
Reef
9L4#1
4L3#1
5L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#5
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +90
0Foul points0
114Total score24

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.92.4
54.757.2
Auto21.3
Teleop31.1
End9.5
red by 48.3
4601
#40
13.61.3
12.811.5
Auto2.5
Teleop8.8
End2.4
Second
3966
#10
30.62.4
25.327.8
Auto9.2
Teleop19.2
End2.2
red by 19.7
9097
#38
10.91.4
15.414.0
Auto2.9
Teleop6.1
End1.8
Third
6107
#29
13.12.4
8.611.1
Auto5.9
Teleop4.7
End2.5
red by 4.3
3814
#44
8.81.3
9.58.2
Auto3.0
Teleop4.4
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned11%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
13%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned23%Barge oddsMissed