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Red99
1001120.4
43214.4
941027.4
Blue80
297315.7
512516.9
426527.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6855204060801009980

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+3Teleop
+5Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
0Leave0
3Coral scored#3
15Coral points16
15Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +4
13Coral scored#9
48Coral points34
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#5
12Processor points6
4Net points20
16Algae points26
64Total teleop60
Reef
6L4#4
5L3#4
4L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#18
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
14Foul points0
99Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9410
#14
27.41.6
27.128.7
Auto7.4
Teleop14.4
End5.7
blue by 0.1
4265
#37
27.51.8
23.225.0
Auto6.5
Teleop19.3
End1.7
Second
20.41.6
17.118.7
Auto5.4
Teleop13.3
End1.7
red by 3.5
5125
#27
16.91.8
15.617.4
Auto4.1
Teleop11.5
End1.3
Third
432
#32
14.41.7
14.015.7
Auto1.9
Teleop8.8
End3.6
blue by 1.4
2973
#35
15.71.8
13.215.0
Auto2.5
Teleop11.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned21%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsMissed