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Red45
77257.8
86246.7
346825.9
Blue81
250226.1
877219.1
222037.8
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3810102060801201401604581

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+30
Endgame+30
Fouls+36
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave6
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +23
7Coral scored#10
24Coral points37
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
0Processor points6
8Net points12
8Algae points18
32Total teleop55
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +36
0Foul points6
45Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3468
#21
25.90.5
25.125.6
Auto3.5
Teleop19.9
End2.6
blue by 11.8
2220
#11
37.80.8
34.934.1
Auto6.6
Teleop30.2
End1.0
Second
7725
#39
7.80.4
6.56.9
Auto5.1
Teleop3.8
End-1.1
blue by 18.2
2502
#17
26.10.8
28.727.9
Auto7.0
Teleop14.6
End4.5
Third
8624
#43
6.70.5
7.48.0
Auto1.4
Teleop2.1
End3.2
blue by 12.4
8772
#18
19.10.8
20.719.9
Auto4.4
Teleop11.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
13%Auto oddsMissed69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed55%Barge oddsMissed