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Red117
305831.8
742837.5
707225.3
Blue72
14432.5
711114.1
395921.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88692040608010012014011772

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+25Teleop
+45Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave6
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +18
15Coral scored#11
53Coral points39
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
75Total teleop57
Reef
6L4#4
6L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#16
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
0Foul points0
117Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.52.9
30.833.7
Auto8.0
Teleop23.6
End5.8
red by 5.0
144
#20
32.50.1
32.132.3
Auto4.4
Teleop20.6
End7.5
Second
31.83.1
26.930.0
Auto5.7
Teleop22.0
End4.0
red by 9.8
3959
#41
21.90.1
21.821.9
Auto3.1
Teleop16.4
End2.5
Third
7072
#16
25.32.9
21.023.9
Auto4.3
Teleop13.9
End7.1
red by 11.3
7111
#36
14.10.1
11.611.7
Auto3.4
Teleop9.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsMissed