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Red46
74413.5
610713.1
314025.7
Blue37
909710.9
313811.7
4827.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53670204060801001204637

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+11Teleop
+9Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave6
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +18
7Coral scored#3
25Coral points11
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
6Processor points6
4Net points0
10Algae points6
35Total teleop17
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points0
46Total score37

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3140
#22
25.70.7
24.824.0
Auto2.1
Teleop22.3
End1.3
blue by 1.7
48
#24
27.42.5
30.728.2
Auto5.7
Teleop19.0
End2.6
Second
744
#28
13.50.7
12.712.0
Auto4.2
Teleop6.0
End3.3
red by 1.9
3138
#23
11.72.3
12.610.3
Auto3.1
Teleop7.3
End1.2
Third
6107
#29
13.10.7
11.110.3
Auto5.9
Teleop4.7
End2.5
red by 2.3
9097
#38
10.92.5
14.011.5
Auto2.9
Teleop6.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed