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Red122
402064.6
103825.2
630218.5
Blue42
500515.1
38148.8
3419.2
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13643010015020012242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+68Teleop
+78Endgame
+80Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave6
6Coral scored#1
30Coral points3
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +47
13Coral scored#5
48Coral points19
1Processor algae#0
5Net algae#2
6Processor points0
20Net points8
26Algae points8
74Total teleop27
Reef
10L4#2
3L3#1
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#8
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +80
2Foul points0
122Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.60.2
62.963.1
Auto18.3
Teleop38.4
End7.9
red by 45.4
34
#13
19.20.9
19.518.7
Auto2.5
Teleop12.6
End4.1
Second
25.20.2
24.424.5
Auto6.2
Teleop16.6
End2.4
red by 10.1
5005
#34
15.10.9
14.914.0
Auto3.7
Teleop7.2
End4.1
Third
6302
#25
18.50.2
19.619.7
Auto4.6
Teleop12.1
End1.7
red by 9.7
3814
#44
8.80.9
8.27.4
Auto3.0
Teleop4.4
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned20%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsMissed