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Red82
278347.0
959013.4
219017.7
Blue168
460113.6
402860.6
233861.9
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions731385010015020082168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+35
Teleop+92
Endgame+92
Fouls+86
AutonomousBlue +35
9Leave9
0Coral scored#7
0Coral points35
9Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +57
8Coral scored#16
29Coral points56
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#8
6Processor points12
8Net points32
14Algae points44
43Total teleop100
Reef
2L4#8
2L3#6
2L2#7
2L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#33
Bargelevel
24Cage & park24
24Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +86
6Foul points0
82Total score168

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.00.1
41.941.8
Auto11.7
Teleop26.3
End9.0
blue by 14.9
61.94.0
57.261.2
Auto21.3
Teleop31.1
End9.5
Second
2190
#33
17.70.1
17.217.1
Auto2.5
Teleop10.8
End4.4
blue by 42.9
60.64.0
51.855.8
Auto16.8
Teleop37.3
End6.4
Third
9590
#42
13.40.1
14.714.6
Auto0.6
Teleop10.8
End2.1
blue by 0.2
4601
#40
13.64.0
11.515.5
Auto2.5
Teleop8.8
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsMissed69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed32%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned77%Barge oddsEarned