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Red105
384312.3
222037.8
742837.5
Blue63
504518.2
14432.5
877219.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions878350607010011012013010563

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+42Teleop
+42Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
2Coral scored#0
10Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +35
10Coral scored#9
37Coral points32
3Processor algae#0
5Net algae#2
18Processor points0
20Net points8
38Algae points8
75Total teleop40
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#3
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
0Foul points0
105Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2220
#11
37.82.3
34.136.4
Auto6.6
Teleop30.2
End1.0
red by 5.3
144
#20
32.50.8
32.331.4
Auto4.4
Teleop20.6
End7.5
Second
37.52.3
33.736.0
Auto8.0
Teleop23.6
End5.8
red by 18.4
8772
#18
19.10.8
19.919.1
Auto4.4
Teleop11.7
End3.0
Third
3843
#30
12.32.5
8.711.2
Auto1.6
Teleop7.2
End3.5
blue by 5.9
5045
#12
18.21.0
21.020.0
Auto5.3
Teleop10.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsEarned57%Barge oddsEarned