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Red38
86246.7
941027.4
711114.1
Blue72
313811.7
707225.3
74413.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions575002040801001203872

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+30
Endgame+30
Fouls+34
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points12
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +27
3Coral scored#8
11Coral points28
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
11Total teleop38
Reef
2L4#5
1L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
2Foul points6
38Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9410
#14
27.41.2
28.727.4
Auto7.4
Teleop14.4
End5.7
red by 2.1
7072
#16
25.31.4
23.925.3
Auto4.3
Teleop13.9
End7.1
Second
7111
#36
14.11.2
11.710.4
Auto3.4
Teleop9.9
End0.7
red by 0.6
744
#28
13.51.4
12.013.4
Auto4.2
Teleop6.0
End3.3
Third
8624
#43
6.71.2
8.06.7
Auto1.4
Teleop2.1
End3.2
blue by 4.9
3138
#23
11.71.4
10.311.7
Auto3.1
Teleop7.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsEarned