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Red87
396630.6
103825.2
297315.7
Blue85
314025.7
651731.1
77257.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85702040601001201408785

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+4Teleop
+4Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
4Coral points3
13Total auto9
Teleoperatedlevel
11Coral scored#14
38Coral points50
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
12Processor points12
20Net points8
32Algae points20
70Total teleop70
Reef
5L4#5
4L3#6
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points2
87Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3966
#10
30.60.7
30.030.7
Auto9.2
Teleop19.2
End2.2
blue by 0.5
6517
#26
31.11.2
30.031.2
Auto6.2
Teleop20.2
End4.7
Second
25.20.7
24.525.2
Auto6.2
Teleop16.6
End2.4
blue by 0.5
3140
#22
25.71.2
24.025.2
Auto2.1
Teleop22.3
End1.3
Third
2973
#35
15.70.7
15.015.7
Auto2.5
Teleop11.5
End1.7
red by 7.9
7725
#39
7.81.0
6.97.8
Auto5.1
Teleop3.8
End-1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed