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Red71
395921.9
4827.4
53818.0
Blue115
233861.9
219017.7
3419.2
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions731085015020071115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+30
Endgame+48
Fouls+44
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +23
9Coral scored#16
32Coral points59
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
50Total teleop73
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#6
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +44
6Foul points2
71Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48
#24
27.41.4
28.226.8
Auto5.7
Teleop19.0
End2.6
blue by 34.6
61.90.6
61.261.7
Auto21.3
Teleop31.1
End9.5
Second
3959
#41
21.91.3
21.920.6
Auto3.1
Teleop16.4
End2.5
red by 2.7
34
#13
19.20.6
18.719.2
Auto2.5
Teleop12.6
End4.1
Third
538
#31
18.01.3
19.318.0
Auto4.7
Teleop10.7
End2.6
red by 0.3
2190
#33
17.70.6
17.117.7
Auto2.5
Teleop10.8
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsEarned82%Barge oddsEarned