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Red49
250226.1
460113.6
504518.2
Blue142
500515.1
305831.8
402860.6
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions651165010015049142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+63
Endgame+73
Fouls+93
AutonomousBlue +1
6Leave0
3Coral scored#5
16Coral points23
22Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +62
5Coral scored#16
17Coral points59
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
0Processor points12
4Net points12
4Algae points24
21Total teleop83
Reef
2L4#9
2L3#7
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +93
0Foul points20
49Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2502
#17
26.11.8
27.926.1
Auto7.0
Teleop14.6
End4.5
blue by 34.5
60.61.1
55.856.9
Auto16.8
Teleop37.3
End6.4
Second
5045
#12
18.22.0
20.018.0
Auto5.3
Teleop10.2
End2.7
blue by 13.6
31.81.2
30.031.2
Auto5.7
Teleop22.0
End4.0
Third
4601
#40
13.61.8
15.513.6
Auto2.5
Teleop8.8
End2.4
blue by 1.5
5005
#34
15.11.1
14.015.1
Auto3.7
Teleop7.2
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsMissed51%Barge oddsEarned