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Red106
363035.0
222037.8
395921.9
Blue113
14432.5
346825.9
426527.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102896080120140160106113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+5Teleop
Endgame+7
Fouls+7
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave6
6Coral scored#2
31Coral points10
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +16
14Coral scored#16
49Coral points57
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#2
6Processor points18
12Net points8
18Algae points26
67Total teleop83
Reef
6L4#7
6L3#5
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points0
106Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2220
#11
37.80.3
37.537.8
Auto6.6
Teleop30.2
End1.0
red by 5.3
144
#20
32.50.7
32.433.0
Auto4.4
Teleop20.6
End7.5
Second
35.00.3
34.735.0
Auto8.4
Teleop21.8
End4.8
red by 7.4
4265
#37
27.50.7
27.428.1
Auto6.5
Teleop19.3
End1.7
Third
3959
#41
21.90.3
21.621.9
Auto3.1
Teleop16.4
End2.5
blue by 4.0
3468
#21
25.90.7
25.826.5
Auto3.5
Teleop19.9
End2.6